Examine the top EPL prop-bet markets, such as who is most likely to win the title, who’ll finish in the top 4, and who will be the Golden Boot hero. We break down probabilities, key risks, and what the data tells us about the 2025/26 EPL season.
The English Premier League (EPL) is once again the focus of betting fever, and for this season, the biggest questions aren’t just about predicting match winners. Thanks to prop-style prediction markets such as Polymarket, you can now bet on who will win the title, which teams will finish in the top four, and even who will be the season's top scorer.
Let's dive into the numbers driving these huge EPL prop markets, and how they could help you place smarter bets.
EPL betting just got a lot smarter and more strategic this football season, and props aren't your typical sports bets: they're powered by real-time sentiment, money flow, and collective predictions
Here are the five markets that are dominating the volumes:
The latter has a volume of ~$99K, while 2nd place bet sits at ~$113K.

Below is a quick overview of the top three most popular (and most telling) markets among bettors:
|
PROP MARKET |
TOP OPTIONS |
IMPLIED CHANCES |
VOLUME |
|
EPL Winner (2025/26) |
Arsenal, Man City, Chelsea, Liverpool |
Arsenal ~63%; Man City ~22%; ,Chelsea ~8.1%, and Liverpool ~3.7% |
~$110 |
|
Top 4 Finish |
Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Brentford, Fulham, West Ham, etc. |
Arsenal ~ 94%; Man City ~88; Liverpool ~62%; Chelsea ~60%, etc. |
~$615K |
|
Golden Boot Goalscorer |
Haaland, Mbeumo, Palmer, Kyokeres, etc. |
Haaland ~90%, Mbeumo, Palmer and Kyokeres ~3%, etc. |
~$180K |
With 26 points from 11 games, Arsenal are currently the most backed team to win the 2025/26 Premier League. According to the biggest prop-bet market, they sit at around a 63% implied probability, with Manchester City trailing at roughly 22%.
That makes sense when you look at the bigger picture: Arsenal are top of the league early, and bookies have piled in behind them.
Meanwhile, Man City remain a threat, but in this market, they’re not seen as the absolute favourite.

Finishing in the top four is to many bettors what winning the title was a few seasons ago. The current market puts Arsenal at a whopping ~94% chance to crack the top four, with Man City at ~88% and Liverpool at ~62%.
Interestingly, Liverpool and Chelsea also feature in top-4 prop markets, with implied probabilities of roughly 62% and 60%, respectively. These markets' high value reflects confidence, and though a top-four pick is simpler than a win, there are no guarantees.

It’s probably no surprise that Erling Haaland commands a dominant ~90% of the Golden Boot prop market. When bettors look at top-scorer markets, Haaland’s consistency and team role make him the clear favourite.

Looking for free-to-play betting action? Check out bet365’s football prediction game for free and win your share of the prize pool.
Pros:
Cons:
To use valuable data to tilt the odds in your favour, follow these 5 steps:
The EPL props market for 2025/26 gives sports bettors a powerful way to engage with the season beyond just picking match winners. With Arsenal leading the title odds, Manchester City and Liverpool competing for top-four, and Haaland squarely in control of the Golden Boot, there’s a wealth of insight (and betting opportunity) if you use the data wisely.
With props reflecting what bettors believe rather than just what they hope, you can make calculated and informed bets by watching the shifts, rather than just wagering blindly. Ready to dive in? Explore our top sports betting providers, claim a generous welcome offer, and play the odds.
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